Memoir Dictated by
Ewan Clague
Director of Bureau of Employment Security, Social Security
Board, 1940-46; Commissioner, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Department of
Labor, 1946-54 and 1955-65; and Special Assistant to the Secretary of
Labor, 1954-55.
Washington, D.C.
March 5, 1964 and March 7, 1964
[Notices and Restrictions | List
of Subjects Discussed]
NOTICE
This is a transcript of a memoir dictated for the Harry S. Truman Library.
A draft of this transcript was edited by Mr. Clague, but he made only
minor emendations; therefore, the reader should remember that this is
essentially a transcript of the spoken, rather than the written, word.
Numbers appearing in square brackets (ex. [45]) within the transcript
indicate the pagination in the original, hardcopy version of the oral
history interview.
RESTRICTIONS
This oral history transcript may be read, quoted from, cited, and reproduced
for purposes of research. It may not be published in full except by permission
of the Harry S. Truman Library.
Opened November 1966
Harry S. Truman Library
Independence, Missouri
[Top of the Page | Notices
and Restrictions | List of Subjects Discussed]
Memoir Dictated by
Ewan Clague
Washington, D.C.
March 5, 1964
[1]
I was standing on the platform of the Back Bay Station of the New Haven
Railroad in Boston when I heard -- or saw -- about the death of President
Roosevelt. I glimpsed a headline in a newspaper being read by a fellow
traveler, "PRESIDENT ROOSEVELT IS DEAD." I simply couldn't believe it,
but I went upstairs to try to find a paper and verified the awful fact.
To say that I was shocked and depressed is the understatement of the
decade. Ordinarily I have a sanguine temperament and take things as they
come. In this particular case I was devastated. I could recall in recent
years only one previous occasion in which I had been as deeply, fundamentally
disturbed. That was in April of 1940, five years before, and the occasion
was the Nazi
[2]
invasion of Norway. On that previous occasion I was so upset that I fumbled
my work at the office for several days until I could get a grip on myself.
On this occasion, I found it practically impossible to sleep on the way
down to Washington, and my feeling the next day was one of complete discouragement.
It seemed as if the bottom had dropped out of the world. However, my memory
is that I recovered rather quickly from this depression, partly because
of the excellent start made by President Truman in taking over the duties
of the office.
I was not well acquainted with President Truman, but I had had some experience
with him as a senator in connection with the work of his committee on
the conduct of the war. Also, I had heard him speak at an interstate conference
of Employment Security Administrators in Missouri in one of the early
years of the war. Lastly, I knew he had been for a time an employment
office administrator in the U.S. Employment Service, and for
[3]
that reason I felt that he would have an understanding of some of the
problems we were dealing with in the Employment Security Program.
The first incident that stands out in my memory was the case of the post-war
projections of unemployment. During the war, I was director of the Bureau
of Employment Security. In the pre-war period, this bureau comprised the
unemployment insurance system and the U.S. Employment Service, which was
engaged in placing unemployed workers. Immediately prior to December 7,
President Roosevelt made a decision to nationalize the employment service
in order to obtain a better coordination of nationwide employment service
activities. It was felt that the State services were not sufficiently
coordinated and integrated for effective administration of placement.
I myself remained with the Social Security Board as Director of unemployment
insurance. The nationalized employment service was transferred from the
Social Security Board to the new War Manpower Commission.
[4]
At the beginning of the war in 1941, the Social Security Board had been
engaged in making economic projections: first, the pattern of economic
development during the war, and the second, the estimated post war readjustment.
There was a man on my staff in the Bureau of Employment Security by the
name of Woytinsky, a refugee from Soviet Russia, who had worked his way
through Germany, Switzerland, France, and finally to the United States.
He had worked with the Social Security Board in the early years of the
program, serving at times on the Board staff as a consultant, and at other
times, under the auspices of the Twentieth Century Fund and the Rockefeller
Foundation. Woytinsky was a world-famous economist and statistician who
helped develop some of the statistical programs in the early period of
the Board's operations. He was especially interested and skilled in analyzing
future economic development. So, when the United States got into the war,
he was commissioned to develop a wartime and
[5]
post-war projection, with particular reference to employment and unemployment.
This he did in a famous document which projected the defeat of Germany
at the end of 1944, the defeat of Japan by the end of 1946, and a two-year
period of readjustment in 1947 and '48. A significant fact concerning
this long-range projection was that it sketched out a probable gross national
product during the war years and then forecast a speedy and successful
post-war readjustment lasting only about a year. It pointed to new high
levels of production and employment in 1948 and beyond. The interesting
point about this projection is that the actual readjustment which took
place in 1945-46 was almost exactly as it had been sketched out by Woytinsky
five years before. He was wrong on the timing of the war ending, but he
was completely right with respect to the nature of the post-war readjustment.
He persisted in arguing that the volume of unemployment in the post-war
readjustment would not exceed three and a half million workers.
[6]
When it became apparent in the early spring of 1945 that the war with
Germany was about to end, we had Woytinsky draw up a proposal for the
readjustment of the economy during the remaining period of the war with
Japan. It had already become apparent that the peak of wartime employment
had been reached in November, 1943, and that the flow of war munitions
and supplies was being produced with a declining number of workers. The
question was what to do when Germany was defeated, what readjustments
should be made. Woytinsky drew up a paper, which we reviewed in the Social
Security Board and then sent over to the Office of War Mobilization for
their consideration.
The key point in Woytinsky's projection was that there would no longer
be need for a 48-hour week. There would be almost certainly a decline
in war employment. He therefore proposed that the hours per week be reduced
to 45, with a comparable rise in hourly pay that would retain the same
level of weekly income. His argument was that the workers
[7]
in this case would be glad to accept the reduced hours and that the effect
would be to spread the unemployment to some extent. He further anticipated
that in the final readjustment after the defeat of Japan, there could
be a similar reduction attempted in such a way that gradually the country
would work back to a 40-hour week without experiencing any sharp unemployment
increases, or any great reduction in worker income.
Nothing came of this effort on our part. The memorandum was lost in the
Office of War Mobilization without any comment ever coming back to us
in the Social Security Board. Years later, when Professor William Haber
of Michigan was doing some historical summarizing of the activities of
the mobilization agencies, he telephoned me one day to say that he had
found in the files a copy of my letter transmitting Woytinsky's projection.
On the paper was a notation, "This is not worth serious consideration."
Woytinsky's views ran so contrary to the
[8]
prevailing fears in the mobilization agencies concerning a great post-war
depression that his thinking received no serious consideration.
Then when the war with Japan came to an abrupt end in August, the .fears
of post-war depression dominated the picture completely. The hours of
work were reduced, wage controls were removed, the country entered a post-war
readjustment, not with a high volume of unemployment, but with a major
industrial relations problem. The cutback in the 48-hour week, with the
premium pay at time and a half, had the effect of sharply reducing the
take-home pay of the workers. Yet at this very time, the price level was
creeping upward, not so fast then, because price controls were still in
effect, but the shrinkage of weekly income was not in any way countered
by a reduction in the cost of living. The workers clamored for increased
pay to make up for the loss in weekly earnings and we entered the worst
period of strikes that we had had in many years. The result was a series
of
[9]
wage increases designed to make up the loss; and the consequence of that
was a rise in prices as soon as controls were taken off in the summer
of 1946.
Then, by a series of developments, I found myself in the middle of that
picture. When the war had finally ended, the Employment Service and the
War Manpower Commission were still in existence. The first step taken
in the post-war readjustment was to transfer the Employment Service to
the Department of Labor. In the meantime, the Bureau of Employment Security,
administering the Federal-State Unemployment Insurance System, was located
in the Social Security Board. This led to a series of legislative battles
concerning the eventual location of these two programs.
In the Social Security Board, we were well prepared for the post-war
readjustment. The unemployment benefit funds in the States had been built
up to levels sufficient to take care of more unemployment than actually
developed. The addition
[10]
of unemployment benefits for returned servicemen in a separate program
took care of any pressures that might have arisen in that direction. As
a result, during the readjustment of 1945-46, the employment security
program performed on schedule.
As the director of the program, and as a ten-year veteran in the Social
Security Board, I expected to continue with this work in the indefinite
future. However, in the summer of 1946, it must have been about early
June, I received a telephone call one Saturday (we worked on Saturdays
in those days) from Ed [Edwin E.] Witte, who had been one of my professors
at the University of Wisconsin. Professor Witte asked if he could run
over to take lunch with me on Saturday noon in the Social Security Building.
I agreed to see him, and we met in the lunchroom. I shall never forget
the way Professor Witte tackled the subject almost immediately. "I have
a proposition to make to you," he said, "and I want you to promise not
to say 'no'
[11]
until I have had a chance to explain it."
I don't remember what I replied, but he went on, "I want you to become
Commissioner of Labor Statistics. Now, don't say 'no' until I have a chance
to tell you about it."
I mentioned something about being completely satisfied with the Board
where I was, and that it was very unlikely I would consider anything else,
but I indicated that I was willing to listen. He then went on to explain
that he himself had been offered the job as commissioner, but that he
felt that he had only about ten years left in which to develop his thoughts
concerning the Social Security program. He therefore proposed to return
to the University of Wisconsin and had no desire to come down to serve
further in Washington. He had been a member of the War Labor Board during
the war itself. However, he felt that the Bureau of Labor Statistics was
in a crisis. It was necessary to find somebody who could fit a whole series
of qualifications, and he felt that I was the one who
[12]
should undertake this responsibility.
At this point, some background is necessary, both on my previous relationships
with the Bureau, and on the events in the Bureau itself, which brought
about the vacancy in the commissionership.
My first job, when I left the University of Wisconsin in the spring of
1926, had been as an economist with the Bureau of Labor Statistics working
on the subject of productivity. This had come about because the Commissioner,
Ethelbert Stewart at that time, was a professional and personal friend
of my major professor at the University of Wisconsin, John R. Commons.
He wired Professor Commons, asking for a young graduate student to do
work in productivity and Commons had urged me to accept. So, I spent about
two and a half years in the Bureau at that time, 1926-28.
My next connection with the Bureau occurred in 1933-34, when I was a
member of the Committee on Government Statistics, which was appointed
to review and examine the statistics of the Federal
[13]
Government. I was secretary of the subsidiary Advisory Committee to the
Secretary of Labor. This committee was a branch of the Committee on Government
Statistics, but devoted itself primarily to statistics in the Labor Department.
At that time then, I had the opportunity to review in considerable detail
all the statistical work of the Department, not only in the Bureau of
Labor Statistics, but in the Children's Bureau, the Woman's Bureau, and
other bureaus as well.
Next, in 1937-38, when the Social Security Board was drawing up its plans
for statistics for unemployment insurance administration, I again had
connections with the Bureau of Labor Statistics, and with Commissioner
Isador Lubin, in devising a coordinated program of statistics which would
provide basic data on employment in covered industries in the United States,
coordinating it with the monthly reports on employment and payrolls being
developed by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. A cooperative arrangement
was worked
[14]
out at that time.
Still later, at about the end of the war in 1945, the Bureau of Labor
Statistics obtained funds for a greatly expanded comprehensive program
of employment, hours, and earnings statistics. This time, Assistant Commissioner
Aryness J. Wickens came over to my office in the Social Security Board
and arranged for a further extension of cooperation. As I recall it in
this particular case, some of the States refused to make their information
available to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, but they would send figures
to the Bureau of Employment Security, of which I was the Director. I then
agreed to make these statistics available to the BLS.
I was, therefore, experienced over a couple of decades in the work of
the Bureau of Labor Statistics. However, the problem of the vacant commissionership
arose from the wartime experiences in the Bureau of Labor Statistics with
which I had no connection. This was the great controversy
[15]
concerning the Consumer Price Index, or the "cost-of-living index," as
it was then called. The labor movement had raised questions concerning
the accuracy of the index in measuring the rise in the cost of living.
A committee was appointed to look into the situation, and later a presidential
commission was appointed, under the chairmanship of Professor Wesley C.
Mitchell of Columbia University. The committee and the commission both
arrived at the same conclusion, namely, that the Bureau of Labor Statistics
was conducting its index in a sound and accurate statistical way, although
they agreed there were some kinds of increases in the cost of living which
could not appropriately be dealt with in the Consumer Price Index. Accordingly,
the commission established a system of additional points, which could
be used for wage increases under the auspices of the War Labor Board.
These were, first, three and a half points, but later were raised to five
points. The effect of these points was to give the workers
[16]
and the unions some of the increases that they could not obtain on a
straight cost-of-living basis, that is, the cost of living as represented
by the index.
This controversy had become so serious that the Secretary of Labor, Frances
Perkins, had put an end to an advisory group of labor union statisticians
who had the practice of meeting with the Commissioner of Labor Statistics
a couple of times a year. Due to an outburst which occurred at one of
these meetings, the Secretary broke off all relationships between the
Bureau of Labor Statistics and the labor union statisticians. This was
the situation when the war ended. In the meantime, Frances Perkins had
resigned as Secretary of Labor when President Truman was inaugurated in
April, 1945. Ex-senator [Lewis B.] Schwellenbach, a native of the State
of Washington, and a fellow senator with President Truman during the war,
was persuaded to leave his position as judge out in the State of Washington
and become the Secretary of Labor for the Truman Administration.
In the course of his confirmation for the office, Schwellenbach became
aware of Secretary Perkins'
[17]
elimination of the Labor Advisory Committee. So in July, 1945, he announced
that one of his first actions would be the settling of the problem of
the Bureau of Labor Statistics with the labor movement. The Secretary
made some sort of statement to the press; I recall seeing it at the time.
Whatever may have been his original intention, the effect of the statement
was to imply that things needed to be cleaned up in the Bureau of Labor
Statistics. As the story was told to me, the Acting Commissioner, [A.F.]
Hinrichs, went immediately to the Secretary and offered to resign. Secretary
Schwellenbach, at that time, had no intention of adding to the flames,
so he persuaded Hinrichs not to offer his resignation. However, from that
time forward, the Secretary and the Acting Commissioner, were not in very
good rapport.
Commissioner Lubin had been appointed in 1933 by Secretary of Labor Perkins,
and for his first two terms, four years each, had served actively as commissioner.
However, when the war developed, he moved over to the White House, as
an
[18]
adviser to President Roosevelt, and the Deputy Commissioner, Ford Hinrichs,
became the Acting Commissioner. For the entire war period, and during
the entire controversy about the index, Ford Hinrichs was only an acting
commissioner while Lubin continued to serve as the commissioner. In July,
1945, this same situation still existed. However, Lubin's term ran out
in February, 1946, so nothing was done until that date, when Secretary
Schwellenbach offered Lubin a reappointment. Lubin decided that he did
not want another term and therefore declined. This meant that Ford Hinrichs
continued as Acting Commissioner for the next several months. However,
it became apparent after a period of time, that Hinrichs would never be
appointed commissioner. Consequently, in the month of May, he resigned.
Aryness Wickens, who was next in line, then was appointed Acting Commissioner,
but the quest was on for a new man. Mrs. Wickens herself had been so closely
connected with the wartime controversy
[19]
that the Secretary did not regard her as a suitable replacement for Hinrichs.
This then was the situation when Professor Witte interviewed me at the
Social Security Board in the lunchroom on Saturday noon.
Witte gave me a strong sales talk concerning my responsibility for doing
something significant in the field of statistics. He played upon my former
experiences with the Bureau of Labor Statistics, and on what he considered
my abilities to solve some of the problems. Secretary Schwellenbach was
in desperate need of someone who could put an end to the developing troubles.
It had to be someone who was professionally well qualified, who would
be acceptable to management and to labor, and who could administer a Bureau,
which now was hesitant and torn because of the removal of its leadership.
After listening, I agreed that I would go over and talk to Secretary
Schwellenbach before I made up my mind.
[20]
Secretary Schwellenbach greeted me like a long-lost brother. He knew
that he and I had been classmates at the University of Washington. I am
sure that he was not aware of it at an earlier date, but Mrs. Wickens
had reminded him of this fact and he was enthusiastic about it. Mrs. Wickens
herself had also been a fellow student of mine at the University of Washington.
The Secretary regaled me with many stories of his experiences at the University
of Washington and emphasized the great need he had for somebody to take
over in the Bureau. He offered me full responsibility as Commissioner
of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, both as his statistical adviser and
his economic adviser. He said to me, "I want you to tell me the facts.
I may not act upon them; I may make decisions for political reasons, but
for that you will not be responsible. But I will accept your judgment
on economic matters."
I told him that I had no political strength in Congress and that it would
be quite impossible
[21]
for me to rustle up my confirmation. He told me not to worry in the slightest,
that he was a close personal and professional friend of Senator [Joseph
F.] Guffey from Pennsylvania, and that since I had originally been appointed
to the Civil Service from Pennsylvania, I could claim that state as a
residence. He indicated that he would take care of all the problems of
confirmation. With this in my mind, I went back to have a talk with Arthur
J. Altmeyer, the Chairman of the Social Security Board. As a matter of
fact, within recent months, the Social Security Board had been eliminated,
and a Commissioner of Social Security had been appointed. The public administration
experts had persuaded President Truman that it was better to have a single
administrator than a three-man board, or as in fact it was, two men and
one woman. Therefore, when I consulted him, Altmeyer was now the Commissioner
of Social Security.
I still recall what he said to me, "We want
[22]
you to stay here, and you certainly have a future as Director of the
Bureau of Employment Security. If you go over there, you'll be in the
blue chips. You'll be on your own responsibility; but if you want to take
it, we certainly shall not stand in the way."
Altmeyer had always operated in the Board on this same general principle.
I recall that on a number of occasions, ambitious employees had gone in
to see him when he was Chairman, with the story that they had had an offer
at increased pay on the outside. His almost invariable response was to
congratulate them on the offer and express his joy in their forthcoming
promotion. He practically never responded by indicating that the Board
would match the raise on the outside. It proved rather embarrassing to
considerable numbers of people before they found out his attitude. In
many cases, this outside offer was partly or wholly mythical, and had
simply been advanced for the purpose of pushing a promotion from within.
So
[23]
far as Altmeyer was concerned, they were promoted within when he was
ready to do so.
I must admit that I gave painful and serious thought to my alternatives.
I talked it over with my wife, who was by this time a practicing physician
in Washington and nearby Virginia, and we tried to take account of the
risks involved. We had three growing children, who would eventually be
requiring a college education, and while we had two incomes here in Washington,
any kind of an upset to our family economy would have serious consequences.
Nevertheless, I was intrigued with the opportunity, and the more I thought
about it the more the challenge influenced my decision. I finally went
back to Schwellenbach and told him that I would accept the commissionship
if he would take care of the Congressional problem. He indicated that
this would be no difficulty at all for him. He asked me to wait until
he had arranged for a hearing with the Senate Labor Committee on the confirmation.
I can still recall that committee
[24]
meeting very vividly. Senator Guffey was, of course, the protagonist
for my appointment. He announced in a stentorian tones that he didn't
know this man, but that he was a candidate for Secretary Schwellenbach,
and "anyone that Lew Schwellenbach wants is all right with me."
One of the members of the committee was Senator Taft, who asked me a
couple of questions about labor matters. I don't recall what they were,
but I'm sure they had something to do with statistics of wages and of
the cost of living. At any rate, my answers seemed to be satisfactory.
I was recommended for confirmation and shortly the Senate acted upon it.
I was sworn in as commissioner in a ceremony in the Departmental Auditorium,
August 1, 1946, at the same time that Keen Johnson was appointed Under
Secretary. Keen Johnson was a former governor of Kentucky who, at that
particular time, was connected with Reynolds Metal Company. He proved
to be a friend in need on several occasions later.
[25]
I was immediately catapulted into the Bureau's problems, but I had several
valuable assets. In the first place, the Bureau was a going organization,
well-administered, and well-qualified for the work it was doing. Mrs.
Wickens, who had been acting commissioner, was able to administer the
details of the work and therefore there was no problem of organizing a
new agency, such as I had had to do when I developed the Bureau of Research
and Statistics in the Social Security Board ten years before. There are,
certainly, limitations to stepping in as the head of a going organization.
There are at times advantages in creating your own agency from the ground
up. But in this particular case, there was nothing wrong with the operating
mechanism of the Bureau of Labor Statistics, and therefore, I did not
encounter major administrative problems at the outset.
A second point of great importance was the fact that my appointment was
received with enthusiasm by the staff of the Bureau. The further
[26]
fact that I had coordinated with it and cooperated with it on previous
occasions while I was in the Social Security Board, and the fact that
I had high professional standing in the field of social security, meant
that throughout the Bureau itself I was welcomed with gusto. Possible,
also, the months of uncertainty had made members of the staff nervous
and fearful of what might happen. Undoubtedly, my appointment led to a
breath of relief on the part of many of the top staff. I could hardly
have moved in to a new organization with more wholehearted support coming
up from below than in this particular case.
There was one stroke of good luck, that is good luck for me and for the
Bureau, although perhaps not for the Nation. In the backing and filling
of the economic situation in the summer of 1946, price controls had been
taken off, then re-established, and then taken off again, so that the
Consumer Price Index was fluctuating nervously. However, when controls
finally came off in the
[27]
month of August, the effect was to send the index soaring. This meant
that the controversy with labor was at an end. No one could criticize
an index for being too low, when it was soaring at the rate of two, three
and four percent a month. The basic cause of the problem with the labor
movement had been dissipated with the elimination of price controls.
Nevertheless, I did have a public relations problem right away. With
the disappearance of controls, there was no longer any reason for the
five points, which had, by this time, become embedded in industrial relations
bargaining. So it was my duty to announce at an early date, and I believe
it was in the month of October, that the five points were no longer applicable.
We announced this in the form of a footnote to one of our monthly Consumer
Price Index releases. There was some apprehension on the part of the staff,
and therefore on my part also that this might result in some controversy.
However, perhaps the
[28]
fact that the index was rising sharply at that time was sufficient to
prevent it. Furthermore, there was really no official channel for an expression
of opinion from the labor movement on the point. As I indicated above,
Secretary Perkins had ended the formal relationship between the Bureau
of Labor Statistics and the labor union researchers.
The second major professional problem which I faced concerned a pamphlet
on which the Bureau had been working for some years. An explanation of
this involves going back to the beginning of the war. At that time, the
Bureau of Labor Statistics, in collaboration with Professor [Wassily]
Leontief of Harvard, had worked up an input-output table designed to picture
the details of the operation of the American economy. During the war,
this activity had been held in abeyance, but in the post-war period, the
Bureau staff had picked up this program and had prepared an estimate of
the post-war readjustment
[29]
This was entitled, "Full Employment Patterns, 1950." It represented a
five-year projection from 1945, the ending of the war, and attempted to
estimate under conditions of full employment what the pattern of the economy
would be. In fact, the pamphlet sketched two possible patterns: one, a
high consumption economy and the other, a high investment economy.
Since this was the first time that this kind of project had been undertaken
by the Bureau, there was some apprehension concerning the reception which
it would meet when it was published. I myself went through the published
text. I had no capacity or desire to interfere in any way with the basic
statistics represented there, but my public relations experience over
the years had made me quite sensitive to the explanatory text. I recall
that in several places, I edited the manuscript to dampen down the implications
of direct forecasting and substituted more mechanical terms that described
trends and projections. In essence,
[30]
I did not in any way change the basic document which had been written
by Duane Evans, Jerome Cornfield, and Marvin Hoffenberg.
Once more, the Bureau and I myself escaped any serious repercussions.
There were some rather vigorous reactions from some of the industrial
economists. I recall one in New York who criticized forcibly our estimate
of automobile production. However, when we explained the basis for our
projections, some of the opposition disappeared. A part of it had been
due to misinterpretation. I recall that about two years later, I was called
to testify before the Senate committee under the chairmanship of Senator
Martin of Pennsylvania, at which hearing I presented basic facts concerning
the steel industry. I shouldn't say "facts," because I presented the estimated
production of steel under these alternative assumptions of high consumption
and high investment.
The steel company presidents and other officials testified at this same
hearing and their
[31]
projections were vastly different. In fact, they forecast a decided decline
in the steel industry from its wartime peaks. We had projected shortages
and limitations to the amount of steel that would be available in the
light of the demands that could be expected. I recall that Louie [Louis
H.] Bean of the Department of Agriculture was one of those who testified
in these hearings and he used estimates of steel production which corresponded
roughly to ours.
One of my major objectives in assuming the Commissionership was to re-establish
formal relationships with the labor union research group. I was well acquainted
with many of them, since I had had association with them in the course
of my activities with the Social Security Board. Advisory committees from
labor and from management were not unknown in the Board, and while these
were informal in many instances, they were, nonetheless, fruitful and
effective. So, I first began consulting with members of the AF of L and
[32]
the CIO groups, looking toward the establishment of an advisory committee.
This took effect speedily, and in February, 1947, we announced to the
public the formation of the Labor Research Advisory Committee to the Bureau
of Labor Statistics. We had worked out an arrangement whereby we had eight
members from the AF of L, eight members from the CIO, and four members
from the Railway Labor Executives. The advantage of this arrangement was
that the railway labor group was affiliated with the AF of L thereby,
in effect, giving them twelve memberships on a strictly quantitative basis.
At the same time, the formal AF of L organization had eight, which was
the same number as the CIO. This arrangement turned out to be satisfactory
to all parties, and the committee operated effectively from that time
on.
However, I had not yet succeeded in establishing a relationship with
the business group, which was another one of my objectives. I had talked
informally with a number of my business economist friends,
[33]
but they had urged me not to formalize the relationship into a committee.
They suggested that I call down individuals from time to time for consultation,
and leave the relationship on an informal basis. However, when the announcement
went to the press concerning the formation of a Labor Research Advisory
Committee, there was immediate reaction from the business group. It started
in the office of the National Association of Manufacturers. It took the
form of a letter written by the president or the secretary, I forget which,
of the National Association of Manufacturers, addressed to the Secretary
of Labor. In brief, it stated that the business groups of the country
were users of the statistics produced by the Bureau, that they had a direct
interest in the quality of these data, and that they, as well as the labor
group, were entitled to be represented by an advisory committee. This
letter came to Secretary Schwellenbach at a time when he was quite ill.
It arrived also at a time when the Bureau was in
[34]
deep trouble over its appropriation for the coming fiscal year. I shall
refer to this later, but for the moment it is only necessary to say that
we had experienced a drastic cut of some forty percent, involving a great
deflation of the staff and the program of the Bureau. It seemed to me
that, in these circumstance, it could be especially advantageous to have
an advisory group from the business world, since it was the Republicans
who controlled the Congress.
But Secretary Schwellenbach was in the hospital and I couldn't get to
him. I talked it over with Under Secretary Keen Johnson, who also attempted
to see him. I think at times they were able to communicate with the Secretary,
although for a while he was quite ill. At any rate, eventually, Keen Johnson
called me up to his office and told me that he had cleared it with the
Secretary and that I should go ahead, write a letter to the National Association
of Manufacturers, indicating our willingness to negotiate for an advisory
committee
[35]
from the field of business. We decided that the U.S. Chamber of Commerce
should also be represented, and so I instituted negotiations with Ralph
Robey, who was economist for the National Association of Manufacturers
and Emerson Schmidt, who was economist for the Chamber. On the basis of
our consultations, we worked out a list of about two dozen business economists
who would agree to serve on an advisory committee, a Business Research
Advisory Committee to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. It took the period
of the summertime to work this out and the first meeting of the committee
took place in October, 1947. Both these committees, the Labor Research
and the Business Research, have continued to function down to date. In
retrospect, I can say that it was one of the most successful moves that
I made in the early days of my commissionership.
I had been commissioner only about six months when my minor triumphs
and successes came to an abrupt end in a major disaster. This was the
[36]
appropriation for the Bureau's work. When the election in November, 1946
had resulted in a Republican majority in the 80th Congress, I had not
been overly disturbed. In my days in the Social Security Board, I had
appeared before the House and Senate Appropriations Committees on many
occasions. In fact, every year since 1936 I had had to defend my budget,
always, of course, under the general supervision of the Social Security
Board itself. Nevertheless, I was well acquainted with the experience
of answering questions at appropriations committees, and I had known what
it meant to have budget cuts.
In fact, I had had some exceedingly unpleasant experiences, as in 1941
when I was badgered and hectored by a member of the subcommittee, Congressman
Tarver from Georgia. This incident had arisen over the effort we had made
to integrate the District of Columbia Employment Office, integrate in
the sense of opening one office for both Negroes and whites. We had, in
fact, provided for a segregation of the waiting rooms on either side of
[37]
the central office space, where the files were kept, but the objective
had been to insure that the job openings coming to the employment service
could be referred to either Negroes or whites in accordance with their
qualifications. Prior to that time, the offices had been both separate
and segregated. The result of our new move was a revolt by some of the
white staff in the District of Columbia office and an outburst from the
Appropriations Subcommittee. The gist of the attack was that we were instituting
a system of putting Negro supervisors over white stenographers and were
destroying the pattern of race relationships in the District. The questioning
was started by the Republican minority member, Frank Keefe of Wisconsin,
who asked the typically insulting question, "I see you've stopped discriminating
against Negroes in the District of Columbia."
When I tried to explain that we hadn't been discriminating and that we
were trying to insure a better operation of the labor market, Congressman
[38]
[Malcolm Connor] Tarver took over and carried on an explosive, hectoring
questioning of our performance.
I recall that at one point, Congressman Tarver thumped the table and
said in substance, "Young man, I don't know where you came from or what
your previous experience has been, but God Almighty made the white man
superior to the Negro, and you're not going to change it."
However, to return to the matter of appropriations, this episode had
not had any direct effect upon our Bureau's appropriations, that is, the
Bureau of Employment Security, and I did not have any great fear concerning
the actions of appropriations committees.
However, in the spring of 1947, Congressman Keefe of Wisconsin was then
the chairman of the new Republican majority. Since he was reasonably well
acquainted with me and my previous work, I was not excessively apprehensive,
although I had read in the papers a great deal about the proposed budget
[39]
cutting which the Republicans were going to do. Congressman [John] Taber,
as chairman of the House Appropriations Committee, was making a number
of statements concerning the billions of dollars worth of cutbacks they
were going to bring about.
I went down to see Congressman Keefe rather early in the season, and,
as I think back on it now, he certainly was giving me some warning. He
announced to me on one occasion that the Bureau of Labor Statistics had
gotten its head way up in the air during the war and that they would have
to be brought down to reality. But I didn't take this as meaning that
he planned to annihilate the Bureau's budget. I felt that we would have
a difficult time and I did the best I could in preparation for the hearings.
It was typical of Congressman Keefe that at the hearing itself, he gave
every evidence of friendliness and helpfulness. At one point he seemed
to imply that I wasn't making out as good a case as I should, so he took
up one of our pamphlets
[40]
and read off the titles of the different chapters that were within it
-- in effect, implying that he was trying hard to help me make a good
case against the budget cutting. In actual fact, Keefe was simply an actor.
This was all part of a pose that he was working for us. When the time
came to report out the budget, he had cut our appropriation by forty percent,
requiring us to lay off about seven hundred employees out of approximately
seventeen hundred, and indicating that we should do so during the remaining
months of the fiscal year, so that we would be down to that level by the
new fiscal year beginning in the month of July. Since similar cuts had
been handed out to other bureaus and offices of the Department of Labor,
the main building was a gloomy place in March, 1947. It was apparent to
everyone that, no matter how well we fared at the Senate, we would lose
a large proportion of our employees.
But we suffered an even greater disaster in our Bureau, a disaster greater
than any other
[41]
branch of the Department of Labor. On the floor in the debate, Congressman
Keefe, criticized us for producing too many statistics. He indicated that
the country had statistics running out of its ears, and that what was
necessary was to get rid of some of these useless pictures of the economy.
The strategy of the Democratic minority was to force some votes on some
of the Department of Labor appropriations, so Congressman [John] Fogarty,
the minority representative, arose on several occasions to propose a restoration
of the President's budget for one or the other of the Department's bureaus.
Unfortunately, the Bureau of Labor Statistics was one of those selected
for this exercise. If I had been consulted I surely would have recommended
against it. I never knew a time when you could get more money for statistics
on the floor of the Congress. There is not enough glamour in statistics
to bring about any such upset.
However, the strategy was decided upon; perhaps
[42]
Congressman Fogarty felt that, in view of the wartime controversy concerning
the cost-of-living index, the Republican members of the Congress would
be influenced in favor of the BLS. So he made a motion to restore one
million dollars of our budget cut. It was still not up to the President's
budget, but substantially above what the committee had recommended. This
was speedily voted down and then Congressman [George B.] Schwabe of Oklahoma,
a Republican member of the committee, got up and recommended that the
Bureau be further cut by this same million dollars. Again, the House responded
with full hue and cry by voting in favor of this additional cut.
I was astonished that Chairman Keefe made no effort to rebut Congressman
Schwabe's additional cut. It is generally one of the traditions of the
House Committee, that the chairman vigorously supports the Committee action.
If anyone attempts to raise the budget from the committee's report, he
objects, but if anyone tries to cut it further, he valiantly defends the
action of his committee. Instead, Congressman Keefe did not speak up at
all.
[43]
He allowed the wave of votes to take effect in producing an additional
cut of one million dollars in our budget.
The next day, I called up Congressman Keefe to see whether Congressman
Schwabe's action represented his viewpoint. I didn't say so to him, but
my action plainly implied that he had taken advantage of Schwabe's action,
and that perhaps this represented a committee majority. But Keefe volubly
explained that this had caught him entirely by surprise, that he knew
nothing whatever of Schwabe's proposed motion, that he was too astonished
to take any action. Then he added that, if I went to the Senate and got
some additional funds, he himself would insure that in the conference
they would come up at least to the House Committee action. This is, in
fact, what happened. The Senate, after hearing our presentation (and the
Senate in that year acted rather late in the spring), raised our budget
to three and three-quarters millions. The House Committee action (prior
to the cut on the
[44]
floor) had given us about 3.4 million. In the conference, Keefe acceded
to the Senate figure to the extent of coming up to the 3.4 million of
the House Committee.
It can scarcely be imagined what this meant to the employees and to the
work of the Bureau. Within a space of a couple of months, we had to dismiss
about 700 employees. We decided that there was no use in trying to make
any distinction between those whom we considered highly desirable employees,
and those whom we would not miss. There were certain rules laid down by
the Civil Service Commission that would work precisely, when applied.
As I recall it, we made no exceptions whatever, and as I further recall,
I believe there were only two appeals from our decisions on layoffs. What
happened was that the great bulk of employees recognized that a great
deflation in our employment was in prospect, and that there was not much
use in trying to stay with us.
In the midst of this debacle, it may well be
[45]
asked how the Bureau succeeded in conducting our work. The answer is
that, in the first place, the House Committee had recognized the fundamental
importance of the Consumer Price Index and therefore they had allocated
up to $695,000 for this operation. Therefore, we gave this the highest
priority and insured that nothing would happen to the index itself, which
at this moment was literally skyrocketing.
The second major program was the employment, hours, and earnings statistics,
which we were collecting in cooperation with the state agencies, either
employment security agencies or state departments of labor. We gave this
program a high priority in order to insure that there would be no interruptions
with the regular monthly statistics on employment, hours, and earnings.
It was the Wage and Industrial Relations Division of the Bureau which
suffered the most. Since such surveys were made on a periodic basis, there
was no chronological compulsion forcing us to a set
[46]
schedule. Consequently, what happened is that we postponed surveys that
we had programmed and we cut out other surveys that we now couldn't possibly
do. In many areas of the Bureau's work, we simply cut out all kinds of
special studies and concentrated entirely on the continuing data that
had to be maintained.
In the meantime, we had done one other thing which perhaps made some
slight difference in the final result. Knowing that we had such a drastic
cutback in sight, and knowing too that we were beginning to establish
relationships with the business community, we made program decisions concerning
the coming fiscal year and indicated clearly how we would take the cut
in budget. Then we sent out written papers to representative businessmen,
who had been respondents of ours in various surveys. In brief, we announced
that the cut had taken place and that we would welcome any advice concerning
where we should take it. The sheet, which we asked to be returned to us,
provided a
[47]
simple method by which they could record their judgments.
This was an interesting operation in that we obtained quite a lot of
information concerning the business uses of our statistics, judging from
the way people responded to this request. The response was exceptionally
good in terms of the numbers of questionnaires returned, and also good
in that many people wrote in detailed observations as to what would be
useful to them. This had a secondary result in that a number of these
businessmen then wrote to their congressmen and commented on the reduction
made in the Bureau's budget. Possibly some of them wrote in commending
the reduction, but we do know that a great many who wrote expressed the
opposite point of view. Congressmen began to hear about the cut in the
budget of the Bureau of Labor Statistics and recognized that there was
some public opinion in favor of the Bureau. Of course, the labor group
was trying to do something about the budget, but they had no influence
[48]
in the 80th Congress and their representations did little good. This
experience, however, helped us a great deal in the subsequent operations
of the Business Research Advisory Council. [These two advisory groups
were first called "Committees", but later were called "Councils.]
To continue on to the next year, in the spring of 1948 we were back once
more before the House Appropriations Committee. Again there was a completely
dominant Republican majority, who decided to cut the Bureau some more.
By this time, I was well enough acquainted with the members of the committee
to be able to find out some of the things that were happening. Congressman
Fogarty told me that the Republican majority of four members out of seven,
as the total membership then was, had been meeting secretly by themselves
and making their own decisions; so that instead of a joint committee appraisal
of the various budget presentations, there was instead a majority decision
made in advance, and not amenable to change by
[49]
argument in committee. This attitude was deeply resented by Fogarty and
the other Democrats who had not in the past conducted their appropriations
discussions on this basis.
Conditions from an appropriation point of view could hardly have been
worse in the spring of 1948. Again, I went through the hearing with the
committee and answered the questions that were asked, but at the very
end, Congressman Keefe, the chairman, asked what I would do if they reduced
my budget by another forty percent. I must confess that this approach
completely floored me. I had not expected that they could proceed with
another forty percent cut on the top of the last. Therefore, I was totally
unprepared for it, and I made a very bad presentation. In fact, I went
off the record and tried to say something about the desirability of maintaining
our current statistics, but I'm sure that it had relatively little effect.
At any rate, that is exactly what happened; the House Committee gave
me an appropriation of two
[50]
and a half million dollars. In the meantime, the Senate hearing, as usual,
was delayed until late in the year. In fact, while the appropriation hearing
had been held in the Senate, there had been no final decision on our budget
by May 24, 1948. That is a red letter day in the history of the Bureau
of Labor Statistics, because that's the day when the General Motors Corporation
and the United Automobile Workers signed the famous contract which provided
for escalation of wages on the Consumer Price Index for the next two years.
This is the incident which saved the Bureau's appropriation for that
year and undoubtedly for all subsequent years. With the use of the index
so openly and definitely made a part of the labor-management relations
in the United States, pressure was brought immediately to prevent any
cut in the Bureau's budget. I think I can credit Senator [Ralph] Flanders
as being the initiator of the discussions with the automobile companies.
At any rate, the position of management – top-level management
[51]
-- in the country concerning the Bureau's budget was conveyed both to
the Senate committee and to the House. We came out with the same appropriation
we had had in the preceding years.
Second Memoir dictated by Ewan Clague, Washington, D.C., March 7,
1964.
I was, by this time, at the end of nearly two years as Commissioner,
in a mood of deep despair. I felt myself to be the victim of the slings
and arrows of outrageous fortune; everything seemed to be going wrong
and I was not able to stem the tide. Even the most sympathetic members
of the Bureau staff were losing confidence in my leadership. Psychologically
speaking, I had plumbed the nadir. In the meantime, the world around me
was in even worse shape.
When I first took office, Schwellenbach, the Secretary, was still in
good health. My relations with him were excellent. I recall that at the
time I assumed the duties of the office, he called me
[52]
in to give me my sailing orders. In substance, he said to me, "You are
my economic adviser. I want to know what you think. I may not always take
your advice. For political reasons, I may do exactly the opposite, but
I want you to keep coming through with your professional judgment." In
all the years that I have served under various chiefs, I have never had
one who was any better from this particular point of view that Lew Schwellenbach.
I have no clear recollection concerning my outlook for the elections
of 1946. Certainly, I had no premonition of disaster. If the political
leaders in the Department were concerned about the matter, it was not
in any way communicated to me. It was obvious from the political polls
that were being taken at the time, that President Truman had lost his
high-level early popularity. Certainly it must have been clear to most
of us that the election might be a very close thing. I think I had some
concern about the election, but certainly not any alarm.
[53]
However, as soon as the 80th Congress got underway, the Department fell
into deep trouble. This was the beginning of the hysteria about Communists
in Government. The department was hit in the Federal Mediation and Conciliation
Service, of which [Edgar L.] Warren was the Director. He had had the misfortune
years before to join the Washington Bookshop, which turned out later to
have had some Communist members. This was a perfectly innocent thing for
many Government workers to do. In fact, I myself might well have been
one of those had it not been for my native caution in refusing to join
any kind of organization that might have some influence on my job. In
accepting my responsibilities as Director of Research for the Social Security
Board, and later as Director of the Bureau of Employment Security, I felt
the urgent necessity of making sure that no political or policy-making
issues should obtrude on the objectivity of my work. Consequently, I religiously
refrained from joining any of the organizations
[54]
that might cause difficulty.
As I recall it, the Congressional hue and cry began with the Department's
appropriation hearings, when Warren appeared on behalf of his organization.
At that time, the Federal Mediation and Conciliation Service was a branch
of the Department of Labor. Warren was called upon to explain his membership
in the Bookshop. He developed a story, an explanation, which he gave before
the House Appropriations Subcommittee. I was not directly concerned with
this matter, and I knew very little about the background of it. Since
I had my own budget difficulties, I did not enter into it to any greater
extent than necessary. However, I was well acquainted with Warren himself,
as well as with a number of his staff. Consequently, I heard a good deal
of the gossip concerning the real problem. As it was told to me, the difficulty
originated in the staff of the Federal Mediation and Conciliation Service
and was directly connected with John Steelman in the White House. Steelman
[55]
had formerly been the head of this Service under Frances Perkins as Secretary
of Labor. In the latter part of the war, about 1944, I believe, he had
resigned and Warren had been appointed.
As part of his plan to improve the Service and to modernize it, Warren
had brought in a number of younger economists and statisticians and had
set up a new type of research department. To make room for these new members
of the staff, he had retired some of the older members, who were either
at retirement age or close to it. These older members had been the appointees
of John Steelman when he had been Director of the Service. They resisted
the change and went to Steelman with their troubles. I have no idea what
personal feelings Steelman may have had concerning these changes and these
individuals. I did not know the individuals themselves and do not to this
day know who they were. However, the feeling around the Department was
that Steelman became a bitter enemy of the new administration of the Service,
and therefore was
[56]
ready to do it harm in any way that he could.
The one incident which I do recall occurred in connection with the appropriations,
that is, the House hearings on appropriations. This was told to me by
Keen Johnson, the Under Secretary, at a time when I was consulting him
about my own problems in connection with the appropriations. It seems
that the Democratic members of the House Committee were John Rooney and
John Fogarty. As Keen Johnson relayed the story to me, there had been
some discussion in the whole subcommittee on the subject of Ed Warren
and his loyalty. In the course of the discussion, Chairman Keefe indicated
that he would call the White House to check on this matter. Accordingly,
he did so, but did not report to the committee on the outcome of it. As
a matter of fact, the Democratic members were bitterly complaining that
they were not being consulted in connection with the decision on the appropriations.
But on one occasion, Rooney had the opportunity to look at the hearings
record in the Office of the
[57]
Chief Clerk of the Committee. He noted that in connection with the page
relating to the appropriations for the Mediation Service, there was a
handwritten note as follows: "Warren is a pinko." According to Rooney,
this is what Keefe had learned from his telephone conversation with John
Steelman at the White House. Rooney, therefore, passed on the word to
the Department saying, "You had better straighten out your situation with
the White House. We can't do anything for you down here under the present
circumstances."
In relaying this story to me, Keen Johnson gave me the impression that
there was nothing that could be done about it. I wondered at the time
why it was not possible for Lew Schwellenbach to go to President Truman,
or at least to go over to John Steelman and face him with this charge;
but it was fairly clear from Johnson's general attitude that he felt the
situation was hopeless.
Furthermore, there was another complication at this time. Schwellenbach
became quite ill. He
[58]
had slipped a disc and had to have his back in a cast. In addition, what
was probably his final fatal illness was undoubtedly affecting him to
some extent. As I noted earlier, in connection with the Business Research
Advisory Committee, he was in the hospital at varying times in the spring
of 1947, and was not available for very active leadership. In any case,
the damage was done. Not only did the Department suffer drastically in
reduced appropriations, but legislation was set in motion which eventually
passed (the Taft-Hartley Act). One of the features of this act was the
removal of the Federal Mediation and Conciliation Service from the Department
of Labor, thus making it an independent agency. Warren, of course, had
to resign, and in the new administration Cy [Cyrus] Ching was appointed
the Director of the Service.
The Department itself was suffering from other handicaps. At that time,
the labor movement was bitterly divided between the AF of L and the CIO.
The cleanout of the Communists from the CIO had not
[59]
yet taken place, so that there was relatively little cooperation between
the two branches of the movement. Within the Department, we had two assistant
secretaries, one representing the AF of L, and the other, the CIO. The
former was Ralph Wright and the latter was John Gibson. This meant that,
within the Department, there was almost no administration at all, that
is, at the departmental level. Neither of these could be designated as
Acting Secretary; neither of them could exercise administrative control
over any branches of the Department's work. I recall that at one time
it was proposed that the Bureau of Labor Statistics should report to the
Secretary through John Gibson. However, objection was made to the Secretary
immediately from somewhere in the AF of L and the proposed move was dropped.
In actual fact, the Bureau worked successfully with both Wright and Gibson.
Gibson was closer to our type of activity and proved to be a very good
friend on a number of occasions. However, in no case did the
[60]
Department itself organize in such a way as to establish a team of political
and policy-making officers.
By the spring of 1948, conditions were much worse. Schwellenbach was
already dying and was wholly unable to give any significant kind of leadership.
Keen Johnson was a good man, and we worked well with him, but he did not
have the stature and prestige to enable him to take over. Consequently,
it was almost a leaderless and rudderless ship which was operating as
the Department of Labor at the close of the fiscal year in June 1948.
During the first two years, we in the Bureau of Labor Statistics had
relatively little contact with the White House. As told to me by the older
members of the staff, the BLS had been very active during the Roosevelt
Administration. This was no wonder, since Lubin himself was in the White
House. With the incoming of the Truman Administration, and with myself
as a new Commissioner of Labor Statistics, there did not develop immediately
[61]
any such close relationship. The most frequent contact we had was through
the Council of Economic Advisers. Edwin Nourse, as Chairman, had known
me as an economist over a period of many years. Consequently, we did have
contacts with him of a strictly economic kind.
At the same time, the Department of Labor was having its difficulties
with the newly appointed Council. I recall one occasion when we met in
Secretary Schwellenbach's office on the subject of industrial disputes
and labor relations. This must have been very early in 1947, perhaps in
January. The Council was preparing its Congressional report, in the course
of which they expressed themselves forcibly on the subject of strikes
and labor disputes. I do not recall how they worded their proposed text,
but whatever it was, Secretary Schwellenbach called a meeting, attended
by the three members of the Council and by a number of us in the Department
of Labor, including myself. Secretary Schwellenbach was very forthright
in his
[62]
position. He argued that the Council should not concern itself directly
with problems of labor-management relations, since that was the province
of the Department of Labor. Furthermore, he thought that the particular
policy that they were proposing, which had something to do with holding
the line on wage increases, was not something which was appropriate for
the Council to get into. As a result of that conference, the Council did
tone down its incursion into the field of labor-management relations.
Whatever form the final wording took, at least it refrained from establishing
the Council as the Administration guide with respect to labor and management
problems.
There was one other contact with John Steelman, in the White House, of
which I do not know the significance. This must have been in connection
with the Council's report in January 1948. In any event, what happened
was that I got a call to run over to the White House to look over a proposed
draft of the Council's report. This call came through
[63]
John Steelman's office. When I got over there, I found that several of
us -- at least one from Commerce and one from Agriculture, together with
myself -- were to look over a draft, which Chairman Nourse had prepared
for the President. So far as I can recall, none of us had any objection
to it. We read it over and gave it our approval. Nevertheless, I was astonished
that the Council itself should not have been present at this kind of a
meeting, and I was curious as to why it was being checked in their absence.
So far as I'm aware, nothing happened as a result of this review of the
Council's work, although Nourse did eventually resign as Chairman of the
Council. Whether this kind of activity in the White House staff was a
factor, I do not know.
In the early summer of 1948, Secretary Schwellenbach died. Immediately,
there was doubt and concern among the staff members of the Department.
With the 1948 election approaching, with the bitter contest between President
Truman and the 80th Congress,
[64]
the outlook was very dim. An idea of the prevailing opinion can be obtained
from the statement by someone in the Department, that when Secretary [Maurice]
Tobin took office, appointed by President Truman in about August, 1948,
a journalist remarked that he would probably have the shortest term of
any Secretary of Labor in history. I do not know what negotiations went
on before Maurice Tobin accepted the job, but the consensus in the Department
was that only someone who was prepared to take a political risk, and who
at the moment had no other reasonable alternatives, would have taken the
job.
Tobin brought in with him as Under Secretary, a Boston associate named
Michael Galvin. The two of them devoted themselves almost entirely to
political activities during the remaining months of 1948. My position
in the Department at that time can best be illustrated by the fact that,
in August and September, I took a six weeks' vacation to take my wife
and family on an automobile trip to the State of Washington to visit my
mother. We
[65]
toured the nation going out by the northern route through Wisconsin,
the Dakotas, Wyoming, Idaho, and into the State of Washington. We later
returned by the southern route through the Grand Canyon, Bryce Canyon
and on through Southern Illinois and Ohio. My deputy, Mrs. Wickens, was
able to carry on the administrative activities of the Bureau.
It was on this western trip that I saw the factors which helped to elect
President Truman in the face of the obstacles before him. It happens that
I myself had come from a wheat-growing and fruit-growing State (Washington).
Throughout the western states, Wisconsin, Minnesota, the Dakotas, we saw
the wheat being harvested. In the Congress, in the preceding spring, Congressman
Taber; as Chairman of the House Appropriations Committee, had eliminated
a proposal made by the Truman Administration, for the acquiring of a great
many Quonset huts and other types of emergency storage bins, in order
to take care of the bumper crop of wheat. The defeat of
[66]
this legislation meant that the farmers had no place to store the wheat,
which they were then harvesting. There were, along the route which we
traveled on our way to the West, literally hundreds of fields with gigantic
piles of grain open to the sun and the rain. All the farmers were praying
that it would not rain, because, if it did, the wheat would sprout and
would be entirely ruined. This was the theme that President Truman preached
in that section of the country when he made his election tour. I can certify
from my talks with farmers at the time, that there was no doubt about
their bitter resentment at the Republicans for having deprived them of
this safety factor. As a matter of fact, it did not rain, and I believe
that relatively little wheat was lost. But politically, the damage was
done. This one factor may not have been the deciding element in President
Truman's election, but it certainly did him no harm in the wheat-growing
districts of the country.
[67]
On election night in 1948, we had a party at our house. We had invited
a couple of dozen friends to come in and sit and listen to the election
returns. As I recall the situation, there were relatively few of us who
really thought it likely that President Truman would be re-elected. Nevertheless,
we got out our pads and pencils, noted down the States and recorded the
election figures as they came across. It was with somewhat bewildered
astonishment that we saw the temper of the early returns. There were enough
statisticians among us to be quite able to gauge the significance of early
figures. We still worried about the farm States, even when the returns
from the major industrial districts looked so favorable. However, I think
it could scarcely have been more than two hours into the evening, when
we became quite convinced that the President would be elected, long before
his election was conceded, or even seriously contemplated in most places.
At least we did not make the mistake of some newspapers, namely, of
[68]
thinking that the President had been defeated. It was some of the early
returns from the rural districts in Wisconsin, Minnesota, and Iowa, which
first alerted me to the fact that the episode of the wheat bins was having
its effect. It was from that moment that I was reasonably sure that the
farm vote was not going to the Republican candidate.
I would cite President Truman's election as the date at which the Bureau
of Labor Statistics and the Department of Labor began their ascent upward.
If I cited the General Motors contract in 1948 as the episode which checked
our descent into the depths, so I would say that it was the election of
President Truman which started us on the road up. Secretary of Labor Tobin
came back full of enthusiasm. I suppose he himself had felt that he was
taking a great gamble when he assumed the secretaryship in the summer
of 1948, but now he had been vindicated. He was ready to assist the Bureau
in developing our program.
In the meantime, from a technical point of
[69]
view, our staff were more and more dissatisfied with the Consumer Price
Index. The rapid rise of the index over the two years from 1946 to the
summer of 1948, had had the effect of distorting its component parts.
By the very nature of the index, the rapid rise in food prices produced
an exaggerated effect upon the index itself, causing it to rise more than
a better balanced market basket would have done. Furthermore, the lag
in rent due to rent control was also distorting it. When increases were
running at two, three and even four percent a month, there was no occasion
to do much with the Index under such circumstances. However, when the
Index leveled off in the summer of 1948 (the peak was reached in August
and September), we in the Bureau then took stock, and decided that the
Index ought to be revised as soon as possible.
What would have happened had the Republicans won the election, I don't
know. But as soon as the election was over, we proposed to Secretary Tobin
that he present to the President an emergency appropriation to revise
the Index. We found Secretary Tobin in a very receptive mood. The Bureau
of Labor
[70]
Statistics was the first bureau of his department to offer him a big
new program which promised action in the future. He was so eager to get
it underway that he pressured us to cut it down from a four-year program
to a three-year program. He took the proposal over to the White House
and sold it to the Bureau of the Budget. Consequently, our budget for
the coming fiscal year was immediately upped by a special appropriation
for the revision of the Consumer Price Index. With a Democratic majority
in the Congress, our appropriations committee in the House came under
the chairmanship of John Fogarty of Rhode Island. He was receptive to
our proposal and it went through without a hitch. We were then launched
on our first major change since I had become Commissioner, change in an
upward direction.
But our path through that revision was by no means smooth and easy. We
encountered one disaster in the first year. We got our money in the summer
of 1949. In this kind of an appropriation, where
[71]
it was necessary to appoint large numbers of temporary employees, we
found it desirable to ask for an exemption from the usual Civil Service
rules for appointments. This was necessary, not to get around Civil Service
by making political appointments, but because the machinery of Civil Service
made it difficult, if not impossible, to assemble a special staff speedily
and effectively. In order to avoid politics in the appointments, we made
arrangements with my old associates in the Bureau of Employment Security
for the local employment offices to examine the local candidates for price
agents, that is, the agents who were to make the family expenditure studies
and to develop the local reporting system. Congressmen, being accustomed
to these kinds of appointments, had plenty of recommendations. However,
we had relatively little difficulty about our appointments, which were
made from the employment office lists.
I can recall only one incident, which turned out to be harmless and amusing.
Senator [Kenneth
[72]
Douglas] McKellar of Tennessee was one of the most savage of the Congressmen
in pushing for appointments of Tennesseeans to Federal jobs in Tennessee.
His battles with [David] Lilienthal and the TVA are well known. In our
case, some woman in some Tennessee city wanted to be appointed. The examination
had already been given, but she would not accept this fact. So, we had
a call from Senator McKellar's son who insisted that this woman should
have her chance at the job. I had a decision to make and I made a relatively
simple one. I decided that I would re-open the examination and give her
the opportunity to qualify, if she could. This seemed to satisfy Senator
McKellar's office. In actual fact, when the young woman showed up to take
the examination, she took one look at the questions, and walked out without
making any effort to take it.
It was one of Secretary Tobin's protege's who got us into our only really
serious difficulty during the revision program. This was a young man
[73]
who was appointed from Boston and brought down to work here in the clerical
staff in Washington. He was, presumably, as well qualified as most of
the others; he had passed the examination. However, he became friendly
with one of the young women in the office and he spent most of his time
sitting at her desk and talking to her. It is difficult enough maintaining
reasonable discipline in a temporary, newly recruited staff under any
circumstances. In our case, it was particularly difficult, because the
unit was housed in wartime temporary buildings with plenty of exits. One
of our major problems was to insure that members of the staff did not
walk out from time to time and simply go home. So we could not have a
bad example, such as was occurring right there in the office, with a boy
and a girl wasting time when others were trying to work. After a series
of warnings, we finally took action by proposing to discipline this young
man. I don't recall that we discharged him, but we planned to move him
out
[74]
of that unit and put him somewhere else in the Department.
So far as I know, this young man did not appeal to Secretary Tobin; or
if he did, he must have received scant recognition. At any rate, Secretary
Tobin never mentioned the matter to me. However, the young man and the
girl went down to the House Post Office and Civil Service Committee and
reported that our administration was unfair to employees. As a result,
Chairman Murray of this committee called secret hearings, at which members
of our staff were called upon to testify. Naturally, those who were disgruntled
were in the forefront of the testimony. I myself was not called down or
examined. Some of my supervisors were; they reported on the circumstances
in the BLS as they saw them.
When the hearings were over, the members of the committee's staff held
a consultation with me to discuss what kind of a report they should render.
In that discussion, I had every impression that
[75]
their intention was to give us a clean bill of health. They were going
to criticize us for being somewhat inefficient in the administration of
our funds, but there was no indication that we were going to be subjected
to a major attack. Imagine my surprise, therefore, when the committee
report was actually printed. It blasted us for wasting money, accused
us of having misspent $150,000 out of approximately one million dollars
the first year, and delivered a blistering attack on the BLS and the Department.
The first I knew of it was when I saw the headlines in the papers.
The next step was that we were officially called upon to make a reply
to the charges. It was then that I had another conference with the staff
of the committee. I do not recall at the moment the personnel of that
staff. It was made clear to us that we were expected to accept the general
conclusions of the committee and promise to do better next time. On the
understanding that we would take this position, the committee would agree
[76]
to drop the subject, so the staff said. In making our rebuttal, we had
one tremendous advantage. The staff of the committee had worked out a
questionnaire, which they had given to a sample of our subordinate BLS
employees. In brief, this asked what kind of direction they were getting,
what their relationships were with their supervisors, whether they understood
what they were trying to do. The results of this questionnaire were published
as an appendix to the committee's report. Fortunately for us, an overwhelming
proportion of the employees had indicated that they were receiving good
supervision. The questionnaire itself completely vindicated the Bureau's
administration. I was able to point out that the Committee's own examination
had demonstrated that, apart from a few dissident individuals, the employees
were thoroughly in accord with the Bureau's administrative and operating
procedures.
I recall that, at the very end of this episode, I went down to the office
of Congressman Williams
[77]
of Mississippi. He was one of the key members of the subcommittee who
had investigated this operation. I found him quite congenial. He said
that he was sympathetic with Government employees and their problems,
even with supervisors. He indicated that he himself wouldn't like to be
charged with the responsibility of getting some of these programs carried
out. In general, he indicated a sympathy with out position. At any rate,
he agreed that he would accept our explanations and that the matter would
be dropped, which it was.
It was our good fortune that neither the BLS nor I ever suffered any
long-run consequences from the episode. Nevertheless, I always regarded
this as an illustration of the difficulties inherent in political appointments.
Such individuals always rush to their Congressmen when they encounter
any trouble, and their sponsors are usually unwilling to accept any discipline
for them. In connection with this particular episode, I have always thought
that Secretary Tobin might have given us more help,
[78]
if he had taken more responsibility for the situation. However, while
he certainly kept his hands off and did not in any way attempt to embarrass
us in the course of our travail nevertheless he let us paddle our own
canoe in connection with the Congress.
We had begun our program of revision of the Consumer Price Index, confident
that we had several years of relative price stability ahead of us. As
economists, we thought that the post-war inflation was at an end. At the
same time, we did not anticipate any great price deflation. We expected
several years of price stability, during which we could adjust our Consumer
Price Index market basket and develop a revised, modernized, up-to-date
index.
However, at the end of our first fiscal year of operations, the Korean
War broke out. As soon as this happened, we were in trouble. In the first
place, we were right in the midst of our revision operation, and could
not afford to set it aside.
[79]
At the same time, we were immediately subjected to the pressures growing
out of a wartime economy.
One interesting point is that the General Motors contract with the United
Automobile Workers ran out in May 1950. In March of that year, based on
the January index, the workers in General Motors and the other automobile
companies took a cut of two cents an hour, because the index had declined
from its peak in 1948. Because the automobile settlements were on a quarterly
basis, the two-cent decline in March 1950, was based on the behavior of
the Index between October 1949 and January 1950. Over the two years of
the contract, as I recall it, the workers took a total cut of five cents
an hour, based on the Index. Of course, this was offset by the six cents
per hour that they obtained in their annual improvement factor, which
at that time was three cents per hour each year. However, the interesting
point is that, in general, the workers had achieved no significant increase
in wages over the two-year period of the contract.
[80]
I would not have guessed that the union would for a moment consider a
renewal. Yet, at that very time, members of our Business Research Advisory
Council who were connected with the automobile industry were telling us
that this type of contract was very popular with the families of the auto
workers, and that they had every confidence it would be renewed. I happened
to have had some contact with the Ford Motor Company, and from the top
officials in that company in Detroit, I got the same impression. They
felt that they were on a winning program and that the union would go along.
It is important to note that this was in fact what happened. In May 1950,
the union and the companies signed a five-year contract under the
same general formula.
Other labor and management groups were not so enthusiastic. In fact,
there was considerable opposition from both sides of the bargaining table
among other groups. However, the outbreak in Korea created an entirely
new situation. Possibly
[81]
prices would have risen slightly in the summer of 1950 in any case, but
with the business revival well underway, and with this further accentuated
by the pressure of war production, prices started to jump. The country
was not ready or equipped for any kind of price or wage control. While
the stabilization agencies were established, nothing much was done. Hoarding
took place on a large scale, and some developing shortages helped shoot
the Consumer Price Index upward. Immediately, there was a burst of new
agreements. Union after union opened up its contract with management and
climbed aboard the escalator program. Within the remaining months of that
year, possibly as many as one or two million workers were added to the
numbers who were on escalation.
Meantime, we were being subjected to another pressure. The price stabilization
agency needed a measure of price increase relating back to the months
prior to Korea. Here we were in the midst of a revision program, but had
not yet in any way
[82]
revised the index. Since it was quite clear that it was out of date and
needed revision, there was pressure upon us to make a temporary and emergency
change pending the final result. This we finally decided to do. It had
been our good fortune that even during the tremendous budget-cutting of
1947-48 we had been able to keep alive our program of surveying family
expenditures in a few cities each year. On the basis of the results in
these cities for 1947-48, and 1949, we derived some new index weights,
that is, the importances assigned to different groups and items in the
Index -- food, housing, and personal care, et cetera. Using these weights,
we came out with a temporary revision of the Index in January 1951.
This faced me with one of the most difficult decisions I have ever had
to make during my years as Commissioner. The point was that the old Index
had greatly exaggerated the rise in foods, that is to say, foods were
greatly overweighted in the Index, so that what was happening to food
prices had an excessive effect on the rise. As I recall it,
[83]
the weight of food reached at one point about 42 percent of the entire
weight of the Index. Quite clearly, this was giving the Index a strong,
upward bias. Conversely, the effect of rent control was producing a strong,
downward bias, in the housing end in the Index. At that time, we did not
have home ownership as a factor in the Index. We used rent to represent
all housing costs, that is, apart from furnishings and house operations,
and fuel and light, of course. It was perfectly evident that the upward
bias in the food component was partially offset by the downward bias in
the rent component, but it was not quite clear how to relate these two.
When we brought about our interim revision, however, the important question
that was raised was when we should link the two. In the course of our
temporary work, we had arrived at a revision of the rent component and
were ready to apply it. One choice was to allow the excessive food weights
to operate up until January 1951, ending the upward
[84]
bias at that date, and then applying the rent readjustment from that
date forward. The other alternative was to go back to May 1950, prior
to Korea, and readjust both those elements from that time forward. This
latter is the decision I finally made against the advice of the Labor
Research Advisory Council. The pressure on the Bureau from both councils
was exceedingly strong and forceful. There were legitimate professional
reasons for either decision; the only question was what was the best decision
to make in the light of the unpleasant alternatives. I finally made the
decision, not on the basis of aiding the business group as against the
labor group, but on the fact that for the nation as a whole, it was quite
clear that the price control and wage control relationship during Korea
should be based on an accurate measure after May 1950. That could only
be done by the revision of the index from that date forward. Accordingly,
I made that decision in the public interest, and that is the way it was
done.
[85]
The Bureau and I myself were bitterly criticized by some members of the
Labor Research Advisory Council, particularly by the representative of
the United Automobile Workers. The effect of the decision was to take
away part of the excessive rise of the Index which had occurred in the
first six months of the Korean War, that is, take it away for the purposes
of wage and price determination by the stabilization agencies. By the
early months of 1951, Mike DiSalle had been brought in to take over the
control of the price stabilization agency and price control and rationing
were being established.
The research director of the United Automobile Workers never forgave
me for having made that decision. He persisted in interpreting it as a
decision in favor of the employers and against the workers. On the other
hand, the Labor Research Advisory Council as a body did not follow this
leadership. The AF of L group were less directly concerned with escalation,
since few of their unions
[86]
were heavily involved in it and, in addition, they were more conscious
of the desirability of maintaining friendly relationships with the Bureau.
There was some discussion in the Labor Research Advisory Council about
taking the issue up with the Secretary of Labor, but cooler heads prevailed,
and so far as I know, no official Council action was ever taken. As a
matter of fact, the Auto Workers Union did persuade the companies to open
up the contract for a special readjustment in the spring of 1951, and
the adjustment enabled the contract to continue to run for the full five-year
period, ending in 1953.
This brings up the final outcome of the revision program. We carried
forward our revision procedures successfully; we were crowded for time
and limited in personnel to some extent because of the crisis of the Korean
War. Consequently, we had to adopt a number of shortcuts in order to achieve
revision of the Index on schedule in January 1953, when the Korean War
was still under way. Our plan
[87]
was to link the new revised Index to the old Index in December 1952.
This simply took the level of the old Index as of December and made the
revised Index equal to it. Then the revised Index would continue in the
1953 and subsequent years. We issued preliminary statements to both labor
and management, indicating that there might be contractual relations problems,
and urging that action be taken to make the adjustment.
At this time, the Government itself had a direct interest in the peaceful
solution of any industrial relations problems, because price and wage
controls were still in existence. Therefore, every effort was made to
see if something couldn't be done in problem cases. However, what happened
was that a number of unions and managements wrote to President Eisenhower
and asked that the old Index be continued. Under pressure of the industrial
relations problems involved, the White House agreed. I recall my meeting
with budget director [Joseph M.] Dodge, responding to an appeal from
[88]
twenty-two railroad unions as well as from some employer groups. It was
already well into the month of January, and we had signed off our reporting
stores with the December price collections. To resume meant the development
of an emergency staff and the resurrection of the price collection for
the month of January, which was already past by the time we got into the
field. Budget Director Dodge assigned us $150,000, which he took from
the price stabilization budget, and he instructed us to proceed at once.
We mounted this difficult job successfully. What we did was to collect
prices for two months in a row, January and February both, and then produced
these two monthly indexes. We then continued this old Index through June
1953.
The amazing thing about this episode is that it was brought about primarily
by an economists mistake. The economic adviser to the railroad unions,
that is, their economic advisory agency, had been quite aware over the
years of the excessive effect of food prices upon the old Index. Therefore,
[89]
those economists made the assumption that the old Index, with its high
weight on food, would in all likelihood, go up more than the revised one
in the spring of 1953. In general, food prices tend to rise in April,
May and June each year, because the old supplies from the preceding summer
are being exhausted and the new higher priced fresh fruits and vegetables
are coming in from the South. Counting upon this, their economic advice
was that the railroad unions would do better under the old Index than
they would under the revised one.
I remember pointing out to members of my Labor Research Advisory Council
that this was a doubtful assumption. I warned that they might be wrong;
but no attention was paid to this advice. Of course, these members of
our Labor Research Advisory Council were not the economists for the associated
labor unions on the railroads. Presumably, also, if this advice of mine
ever did reach the union officials by way of some of the sympathetic members
of the Labor Advisory Council, it probably carried very little weight
as against the stronger advice
[90]
of their regular economic advisers. Of course, the historical fact is
that this choice was a mistake from the union point of view. The revised
Index rose faster than the old one as the spring went on. It turned out
that there were ample supplies of food that spring and prices, instead
of rising sharply, remained fairly stable. The net effect was that the
unions which stayed on the old Index to the bitter end actually took rather
substantial losses in wage increases, which they would have obtained had
they converted to the revised Index.
There was a policy point which arose during that spring. When it became
apparent that the old Index was not behaving according to previous patterns,
there was a demand for some guidance from the Bureau of Labor Statistics
in bringing about a conversion. The Bureau staff, and I myself were gradually
pushed into the position of being asked to make a decision as to what
was the equitable thing to do. In other words, in what month should the
conversion be made? This responsibility we absolutely refused to accept.
Instead, we prepared
[91]
a series of conversion factors for each month going back for three years,
and continuing up to the middle month of the spring of 1953. We published
these factors, indicating that the parties could make the conversion on
any month that they wanted; our mathematical figures would enable them
to do this. However, the real issue was the exact month on which the transfer
should take place; and that was not a statistical problem, but a policy
problem. The result was that no conversion took place until the final
index for June 1953, when it was a necessity. We had no funds to continue
the old Index any longer and would not have carried it on in any case,
so the conversion took place on the June indexes (from the old to the
revised).
The revision of the Consumer Price Index was not the only triumph which
Secretary Tobin was able to achieve during the early part of his term
as Secretary. Back in 1941, just prior to Pearl Harbor, the Roosevelt
Administration had decided that it was impossible to operate a successful
nationwide
[92]
employment service by using the State services operated through the Bureau
of Employment Security of the Social Security Board. Accordingly, President
Roosevelt had wired the governors of the States and proposed a federalization
for the duration of the wartime emergency. The war had not yet begun.
Federalization had been recommended by the War Manpower Commission, or
the Social Security Board, which was administering that program at the
time, but the decision had not yet been made. The telegram to the governors
was sent immediately after war was declared. The governors found it difficult
to refuse the President under the circumstances, and the shift to Federal
operation and control went through without more than a modicum of dissent.
When the war ended, the question arose as to what to do with the Employment
Service. The wartime experience had allied the Service closely to the
activities of the Department of Labor, so the first decision of President
Truman was to put the
[93]
Employment Service under the Secretary of Labor when the War Manpower
Commission was abolished. However, Congress thought differently. During
the 80th Congress, legislation was adopted providing for the transfer
of the Employment Service back to the Social Security Board, realigning
it with the unemployment insurance program in the Bureau of Employment
Security. However, the Service itself and its personnel were not happy
with this arrangement. Furthermore, the organized labor movement was strongly
in favor of retaining the Service in the Department of Labor, so much
so that they were also willing to support the transfer of the unemployment
insurance program to the Department.
So, in 1949, legislation was introduced for a reorganization of the program,
providing for the shift to the Department of Labor. This was proposed
as a reorganization plan by President Truman. It was subject to review
by the Congress. When the vote took place, the plan carried by a
[94]
narrow margin, despite the opposition of the states, that is, the state
employment security agencies, and in general, the employer groups. In
these reorganization plans it required a majority of the Congress to overrule
the President's program. As a consequence of that reorganization plan,
the Department of Labor acquired a program which was larger than all the
remaining branches of the Department put together. It was a tremendous
buildup for the Department.
Then came Korea, and Secretary Tobin experienced the first real threat
to his administration of the Department of Labor. When the Korean outbreak
occurred, the President created the War Production Board and a number
of other agencies designed to facilitate the conduct of the war. Prior
to that time, the overall planning agency was in the Office of the President
(I forget its name, but it was essentially the Emergency Mobilization
Planning Agency), which had the responsibility in a general way for joint
control over the military aspects
[95]
of the Government and the civilian aspects. At that time, the head of
this agency was Stuart Symington, later the Senator from Missouri. When
the President set up his new war agency, he appointed Charles Wilson of
the General Electric Company as chairman. At first it was assumed that
Wilson would report to Stuart Symington as the overall agency head for
planning, but it soon developed that Wilson was to report directly to
the President. Consequently, the Emergency Planning Agency, in effect,
was pushed off to one side and Wilson became directly responsible to President
Truman.
Wilson brought in General Lucius Clay as his operating head, and proceeded
to pull together the agencies he regarded as necessary for the effective
operation of wartime controls. Before long they were drawing up a plan
for absorption into the new agency of the appropriate units in the regular
departments. As I recall it, the War Production Agency in the Department
of Commerce was immediately transferred to Wilson's direction. With respect
[96]
to the Department of Labor, a plan was drawn up, certainly under the
authority of Wilson and Clay, but actually, I believe, by Charles B. Stauffacher,
who was one of the assistants in the new organization. Under the plan,
the proposal was to transfer the Employment Service from the Department
of Labor to this new war agency. The Bureau of Labor Statistics was involved
in this to some extent, in view of the fact that the proposal involved
the transfer of the Employment Statistics Division from the BLS. This
was the division which was responsible for the Federal-State employment,
hours, and earnings statistics. It represented a large segment of the
Bureau's work. The effect of the transfer would have been to remove the
Bureau of Labor Statistics as such from direct association with the manpower
operations of the war agency, and of course, would have split up the Bureau.
During this time, Secretary Tobin was one of the members of Wilson's
cabinet, so to speak. He had regularly been attending meetings held in
[97]
Wilson's office. Occasionally, I substituted for him when he was unable
to be present. This plan was never cleared with him, but the planners
in Wilson's office called over Robert C. Goodwin, who was the new head
of the Bureau of Employment Security and whose organization would have
been directly affected by this proposed transfer. I do not know the circumstances
or the pledges that were requested of Bob Goodwin, but at any rate, he
was told what the general plan would be. As I know Bob Goodwin, I would
doubt very much that he had any part in working out this arrangement.
So far as I can see, he was merely called over and told that this would
be the plan.
However, this had a devastating effect on the Department of Labor. Of
course, the plan soon became known. I do not recall by what channels I
myself learned about it, but the effect in the Department was to put the
Secretary himself completely out of rapport with Bob Goodwin and the Bureau
of Employment Security. I can still recall
[98]
the violent reaction of Under Secretary Michael Galvin, who was Tobin's
close personal friend and associate. I was immediately called in to the
higher councils of the Department. Meetings were held at which Bob Goodwin
was eliminated; that is to say, he was not invited to be present. Department
strategy was discussed. It was unfortunate that this happened, because
for a time at least, Bob Goodwin was under suspicion of having been disloyal
to the Department.
In any event, Secretary Tobin took the matter up, first with Mr. Wilson
himself, and then, I believe, with President Truman. He went over to see
Mr. Wilson and indicated that he himself would agree to serve as a subordinate
to Wilson, but he insisted on keeping control of his own employment service
and of the employment statistics in the BLS. So far as I know, Wilson
was not enthusiastic about this arrangement. His play had been to absorb
the employment service and the manpower operations into his own agency.
But Secretary
[99]
Tobin apparently obtained from President Truman some kind of stay of
execution, because in the final outcome, no change was made. The cabinet
operation in Wilson's office continued to operate and the Department of
Labor functions were never transferred to Wilson's office.
It is important to record that Bob Goodwin did establish good relationships
with the Secretary again. Apparently, the Secretary was convinced that
Goodwin had nothing to do with any plotting to bring about this transfer
out of the Department, and there, a close relationship was once more established.
Tobin was not a man to retain enmities or to suspect people beyond the
evidence. I have no means of knowing what administrative limitations the
Wilson agency found in operating on this basis during the entire period
of the Korean War. Suffice it to say that, from the point of view of the
Department of Labor, the operation was successful; there were no fundamental
difficulties that could be attributed to lack of executive administration
[100]
within the Department. This, perhaps, laid the foundation for later plans
for war mobilization during the Eisenhower Administration, when the general
principle was established that, insofar as possible, the peacetime agencies
would assume wartime powers; and while some reorganization would take
place at the top, there would be as little transfer and shift of current
operating personnel as possible. It had always seemed to me that this
was a sound practice. The problem in wartime is not to create new agencies,
to establish hopeless duplication with existing agencies, and to shake
up personnel in all directions. The operating agencies themselves are
quite competent to carry on in the new situation. The problem is how to
coordinate at the top.
It was soon after the outbreak of the Korean War that the issue of my
reappointment as Commissioner came up for consideration. My term ran out
in August 1950. Under the legal provisions governing the commissionership
of Labor Statistics, the incumbent
[101]
must be sent down to the Congress for confirmation every four years.
It's an unusual term in that it dates four years from the time of the
original appointment. It was therefore necessary for the President to
submit my name again to the Senate for confirmation.
By this time, I was not so helpless on the Hill. The experience of obtaining
the revision money for the Consumer Price Index and the vital importance
of the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the early months of the Korean War
were quite sufficient to make me fairly well acquainted on the Hill. It
also happened that I had become personally acquainted with Senator [Francis
J.] Myers, the Democratic Senator from Pennsylvania. The original sponsor,
Senator Guffey, had been defeated in the election of 1948, by the Republican
Senator Martin, who later on was to cause considerable trouble in my reappointment
in 1954-55.
There was no question about my reappointment, so far as the Department
and the President were
[102]
concerned. So I went down to see Francis Myers, who immediately endorsed
me. My name was sent down to the Senate and I was confirmed.
My relationships with Secretary Tobin and with his Under Secretary, Mike
Galvin, were always excellent. They were easy people to work for. On the
other hand, as administrators, they simply did not know which side was
up. I recall an incident with the Under Secretary which dramatizes the
situation. After trying to reach him for several days, I finally managed
to work my way into his office. He was sitting behind his desk with the
entire desk covered with little small slips of paper, say, two inches
by three inches. I asked him what in the world those slips were for. He
explained that he had decided to organize his office better, so he had
listed in his own handwriting on each of these slips, a specific task
or job that he had to do. This entire, enormous desk was completely covered
by these slips. My irrepressible sense of humor got the better of me
[103]
and so I said to him, "Why don't you just sweep all of them now into
the wastebasket and start from scratch?" He laughed to some extent, but
I had the feeling that I had wounded his sense of administrative pride.
This was a perfect example of his inability to handle his office. He would
spend, and must have spent, an hour or two, if not more, working that
list up. At the rate at which he processed the decisions which reached
his office, it's quite clear that the incoming would have exceeded the
outgoing |